False-Positive Economy: Why Reducing Alert Noise Should Be a Fintech KPI

In this article, read about what Seun Oshinusi, our Academy speaker, thinks about the false-positive economy in AML and how to fight it.

False-Positive Economy: Why Reducing Alert Noise Should Be a Fintech KPI

Financial crime controls were built to protect the system. Instead, for many firms, they now prop up an industry of noise: mountains of low-value alerts, armies of reviewers, and ever-rising compliance budgets.

That “false-positive economy” has very real costs when it comes to cash, careers, product momentum, and regulatory focus. If fintechs are serious about fighting real harm, reducing false positives should be treated as a core KPI, not a back-office nicety.

The hidden bill behind the noise

The price of inefficiency is higher than most teams admit. Companies worldwide are spending more than they would have to on financial crime compliance. Recent studies show that markets in the US, EMEA, and APAC spend tens of billions of dollars each year. Almost all institutions report that their costs are increasing.

Much of this money is lost in the false-positive churn—staff hours spent triaging alerts, maintaining outdated monitoring systems, and escalating cases that go nowhere.

Legacy rules and blunt sanctions screening create an avalanche of benign hits. In some studies, 80–90% of system-generated alerts are false positives, meaning compliance teams spend most of their time discarding noise rather than investigating genuine threats.

The results of this range from alert backlogs and missed deadlines to the dangerous possibility that true positives remain undiscovered.

The human cost: Burnout and stalled innovation

The “false-positive economy” also eats away at people and progress. Analysts suffer burnout from repetitive, low-value work; senior investigators get trapped in escalation loops, leaving little time for strategic analysis or policy improvements.

For fintechs, this takes a second toll: slower innovation. Every hour spent on unnecessary reviews is an hour not spent building safer, smoother customer journeys. When compliance becomes synonymous with firefighting, firms either expand headcount or accept fragility—neither is sustainable.

Regulators have taken note. Recent enforcement actions show that ineffective monitoring controls drain budgets and expose firms to reputational and financial penalties—take the Monzo case, for example.

Turning false-positive reduction into a KPI

So what would it look like to treat false-positive reduction as a measurable goal?

  1. Track it honestly: monitor alert-to-customer ratios, true-positive rates, and handling times
  2. Link it to outcomes: faster case resolution, fewer reporting backlogs, and higher-quality SARs
  3. Reward balance: credit teams that cut noise without increasing false negatives

False-positive reduction isn’t just operational hygiene—it’s a strategic efficiency metric that aligns compliance with business growth.

Tech helps with this goal, but governance wins. Machine learning and advanced analytics can help by learning from historical outcomes and contextual data to suppress low-risk alerts. But when done poorly, they create new forms of model risk and opacity.

The most resilient approach is hybrid: automated pre-scoring and suppression for low-risk alerts, human review for the ambiguous ones, and continuous feedback loops so that systems can learn and adapt.

Rethinking the metrics of success

A simple test for executives: do your KPIs reward more reports, or better detection?

If it’s the former, you’re fueling the false-positive economy. Flip that incentive. Measure cost per confirmed detection, analyst hours per confirmed SAR, and queue reduction per dollar spent. Those metrics free teams from burnout, cut waste, and let innovation flourish.

Missed detections are the biggest risk, but viewing false positives as an important cost to reduce shows strong leadership. For fintech companies that want to grow responsibly, making the reduction of false positives a key performance indicator at the board level is the best way to connect compliance with growth. This approach helps clear away distractions and reveals real threats that may be overlooked.

Become AML-certified: The AML Fundamentals course

Join a free, expert-led program that guides you through due diligence, transaction monitoring, and regulatory reporting.

Get started now
Become AML-certified: The AML Fundamentals course